PatriciaMorse1608
0xe1ff6d4309f1caca5f3fd9bdf85d00eaab18986c
- Realised P&L
- $271.67
- Volume
- $64.8k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $70.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.100 | $67.50 | −$47.25 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.046 | $2.58 | −$14.22 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.045 | $0.23 | −$1.93 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.035 | $0.07 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.10at 0.430Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$170.69at 0.490Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
- +$167.50at 0.500Will Trump post "Autopen" or "Auto pen" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
- +$117.15at 0.190Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- +$115.35at 0.410Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 15:21 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $199.23 |
| 04-21 10:48 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $82.56 |
| 04-21 08:50 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $98.04 |
| 04-21 04:16 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $105.78 |
| 04-14 01:33 | Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.43 | $227.90 |
| 04-12 20:56 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $97.92 |
| 04-11 08:15 | Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.88 | $129.36 |
| 04-11 08:13 | Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.88 | $134.64 |
| 04-11 08:12 | Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.88 | $175.12 |
| 04-10 18:48 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $97.92 |
| 04-09 10:44 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $182.60 |
| 04-08 03:07 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $649.06 |
| 04-08 02:11 | Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BUY | 0.87 | $434.13 |
| 03-26 02:58 | Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.998 | $335.33 |
| 03-24 04:47 | Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $317.46 |