0xe1fb28ea7d462181b99b84f226f26d569993dfc7
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $46.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.635 | $19.0k | −$133.98 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.825 | $11.0k | −$66.55 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.710 | 0.715 | $7.1k | +$50.00 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.848 | 0.998 | $5.7k | +$857.85 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.905 | $2.3k | +$116.63 |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.860 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$139.50 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? · No | 0.780 | 0.004 | $0.12 | −$21.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.3kat 0.339Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.9k |
| 11-01 17:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.4k |
| 11-01 12:12 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 11-01 11:42 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.86 | $124.70 |
| 11-01 11:17 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $241.80 |
| 11-01 08:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $11.1k |
| 11-01 08:04 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.2k |
| 10-31 16:16 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3389822581 | $2.1k |
| 10-31 13:55 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.2k |
| 10-31 13:03 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.78 | $21.22 |
| 10-31 13:00 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6389466667 | $9.6k |