0xe1bd74497dc1e8bb7945176ef03afe8c6f06134c
0xe1bd74497dc1e8bb7945176ef03afe8c6f06134c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.38
- Volume
- $135.88
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.250 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.365 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.25at 0.288Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.56at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$2.24at 0.369S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$2.24at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$1.81at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:34 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:23 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999422 | $1.28 |
| 09-15 02:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999738 | $1.28 |
| 09-14 05:59 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.02 |
| 09-13 21:56 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.17 |
| 09-10 21:57 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $1.28 |
| 09-10 13:24 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2999999766 | $1.28 |
| 09-10 05:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.359999955 | $1.28 |
| 09-09 06:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.359999955 | $1.28 |
| 09-08 09:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799999788 | $1.28 |