0xe18d16aa28dfc2b52506500e3e0564866149e1f5
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $142.70
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No | 0.964 | 0.962 | $52.49 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.980 | $51.95 | +$0.16 |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No | 0.933 | 0.707 | $38.26 | −$12.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.53at 0.888Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
- +$4.14at 0.891Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
- +$3.19at 0.885Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
- +$2.07at 0.943Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$1.15at 0.977Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 08:57 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9719999991 | $21.03 |