PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Michaus

0xe184146a5f9756dc5046a6a1f64efaef5e3a920a

Realised P&L
$-101.40
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$193.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-19 15:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
04-19 15:07Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?BUY0.8235924408$9.89
04-19 15:07Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
04-19 15:00Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?SELL0.42$60.56
04-19 11:03Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?BUY0.3299999967$45.18
04-19 10:59MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?BUY0.7447554321$50.00
04-19 10:45Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?BUY0.6499999948$100.00
04-19 07:54Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?BUY0.7$9.62
04-19 07:11Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.66$13.20
04-19 07:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY0.56$16.21
04-19 07:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$9.94
04-19 06:50Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?BUY0.077$12.67
04-18 17:22Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.026$1.04
04-18 17:22Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.031$1.24
04-18 16:56Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.015$1.05