dizl
0xe16ef7f6c30e71d2c24c88526220c891f579da41
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $49.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.383 | 0.645 | $1.8k | +$736.19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.317 | 0.364 | $954.00 | +$125.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.565 | 0.505 | $625.60 | −$74.40 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.115 | $161.82 | −$35.18 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.550 | 0.725 | $92.27 | +$22.27 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $79.38 | −$0.62 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.264 | 0.155 | $29.37 | −$20.63 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$326.91at 0.660Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$290.59at 0.761Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$285.94at 0.633US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$246.41at 0.730US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$209.25at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $80.00 |
| 09-25 13:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5650604832 | $700.00 |
| 09-25 13:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65025975 | $780.31 |
| 09-10 10:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999983 | $180.00 |
| 09-10 10:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $176.71 |
| 08-21 16:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999989 | $150.00 |
| 08-21 15:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 15:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3207613467 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 15:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3425976577 | $285.00 |
| 08-21 13:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 13:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $19.57 |
| 08-21 13:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3439797803 | $90.00 |
| 08-21 13:29 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8030880049 | $91.25 |
| 08-21 13:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $97.00 |
| 08-21 13:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $450.00 |