dizl
0xe16ef7f6c30e71d2c24c88526220c891f579da41
- Realised P&L
- $337.77
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $623.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.791 | 0.815 | $497.89 | +$14.33 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.131 | 0.105 | $89.57 | −$22.43 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.060 | $80.95 | −$69.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$326.91at 0.660Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$290.59at 0.761Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$209.25at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$48.64at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$43.20at 0.860Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1312961578 | $112.00 |
| 08-02 11:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.44 | $114.73 |
| 07-28 12:46 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7914444586 | $483.56 |
| 07-28 12:30 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1111824869 | $150.00 |
| 07-28 12:29 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.43 | $645.00 |
| 07-16 10:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4499999999 | $1.4k |
| 07-08 22:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.5k |
| 06-11 15:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.1k |
| 06-11 15:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.1k |
| 05-16 12:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699999987 | $40.00 |
| 05-16 12:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $400.00 |
| 05-16 12:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.956 | $438.63 |
| 05-04 23:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $390.00 |
| 05-04 23:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL | 0.968 | $387.20 |
| 05-04 22:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.61 | $400.77 |