0xe167cc71a032fe52d1120e6437036b5408ea7559
0xe167cc71a032fe52d1120e6437036b5408ea7559
- Realised P&L
- $-8.81
- Volume
- $185.89
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $7.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.640 | $2.13 | +$1.13 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.950 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.560 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.225 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.360 | 0.036 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.75at 0.560SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?
- +$1.68at 0.440Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:28 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:09 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:08 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 05:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:42 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:07 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:14 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:02 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:21 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |