PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

conormurphy

0xe16486cfbd75d7f8a3881a17a43e458ecd045fdd

Realised P&L
$472.81
Volume
$169.7k
Markets traded
2,199
Open portfolio
$646.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,199
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9970.998$168.00+$0.08
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · No0.9840.960$108.89−$2.68
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.9851.000$101.05+$1.52
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · No0.9640.972$72.96+$0.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.955$49.63+$0.22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8880.915$48.11+$1.43
Spread: Greece (-2.5) · Germany0.9910.995$32.84+$0.13
Spread: Norway (-2.5) · Portugal0.9820.991$25.29+$0.22
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A · PARIVISION0.9400.935$14.90−$0.08
Nothing Ever Happens: September · Nothing0.9870.985$14.78−$0.03
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.9300.955$9.55+$0.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner · G20.8400.000$0.00−$6.77
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner · Vitality0.9780.000$0.00−$95.38
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Iwo Baraniewski0.9070.000$0.00−$18.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:04Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.99$69.58
09-27 20:03Spread: Norway (-2.5)BUY0.993$8.94
09-27 20:03Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$48.49
09-27 20:00Spread: Norway (-2.5)BUY0.976$16.13
09-27 19:40Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.972$29.96
09-27 19:40Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$30.00
09-27 19:05Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.96$23.64
09-27 19:04Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.95$9.52
09-27 19:03Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.96$28.86
09-27 18:06Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsBUY0.9$27.01
09-27 18:06Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.999$59.29
09-27 17:45Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.974$23.69
09-27 17:44Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.97$9.70
09-27 17:44Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.9620095885$24.08
09-27 17:18Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?SELL0.999$20.98