PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe143f865Def2669800368a7B0579355195401dC6-1765725005946

0xe143f865def2669800368a7b0579355195401dc6

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$158.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0940.013$103.20$671.54
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0310.021$33.39$16.60
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0330.051$14.80+$5.13
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0900.022$7.53$22.47
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.5150.000$0.00$20.00
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$460.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.6360.000$0.00$50.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0570.000$0.00$1.20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 16:23Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0329999966$9.67
07-19 22:00Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0574999554$1.20
01-15 09:39Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.054735819$50.00
01-15 09:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.51$34.00
01-15 09:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.38$16.52
01-12 23:37Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0563202595$25.00
01-11 21:00Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.18$15.00
01-07 17:19Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.1543166256$300.00
01-06 23:21Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?BUY0.5148514839$20.00
01-06 23:20Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?BUY0.6365625622$50.00
01-06 14:28Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.3$15.00
01-06 10:10Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0306932389$50.00
01-06 01:32Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
01-06 01:30Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0879999925$10.00
01-06 01:29Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.1444350609$50.00