PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

harryyoung

0xe1297d0a8d2c8973609c198a414c633065756278

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$100.7k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.964$3.3k+$166.68
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9270.945$1.2k+$23.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9560.964$481.75+$3.75
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.961$303.32+$3.32
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8700.865$297.55−$1.72
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8700.839$293.36−$10.84
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9110.970$217.51+$13.11
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9100.978$214.84+$14.84
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9140.979$214.07+$14.07
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9230.987$106.87+$6.87
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$103.85+$3.85
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.9200.920$100.00+$0.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.9500.990$52.08+$2.08
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026? · No0.9100.485$46.90−$41.10
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) · Oh My God0.6970.000$0.00−$73.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 10:47Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.23$52.18
10-27 22:48Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.919999993$100.00
10-27 22:47Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8$181.48
10-23 11:56Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026?BUY0.9099839719$88.00
10-23 11:54Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$230.00
10-21 20:07US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.9299999999$600.00
10-21 20:04Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.976$304.00
10-21 19:54Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9469999999$333.00
10-21 19:48Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999991$300.00
10-21 19:45Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9141948624$200.00
10-21 19:44Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$200.00
10-21 19:44Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.9504950435$50.00
10-21 19:41Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.972$2.5k
10-21 18:34Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7769946715$153.96
10-11 21:32Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.9235769533$100.00