200to1k
0xe0f2480c0940f173bf935d918b6b1a2ac19a2599
- Realised P&L
- $17.32
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $244.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.39at 0.450Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
- +$9.60at 0.317Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
- +$7.20at 0.280Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
- +$6.47at 0.959Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?
- +$6.23at 0.986Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 21:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 09-25 15:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 09-25 13:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 25? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-25 12:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 25? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 09-25 12:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 25? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 14:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-24 11:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-23 14:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23? | BUY | 0.971 | $22.33 |
| 09-22 13:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 15:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.64 |
| 09-20 11:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 09-20 08:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 09-08 16:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $6.74 |