PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE0e8050246940cb9028BcD29770afBED238e142E-1775095473922

0xe0e8050246940cb9028bcd29770afbed238e142e

Realised P&L
$172.59
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$1.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.9810.973$1.80$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 01:21Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.9809999935$1.81
08-12 00:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.95$1.27
07-11 05:36Will Yassine Bounou win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$2.10
06-06 02:53Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.9579999895$1.10
06-06 02:53Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9389999713$1.08
06-06 02:53Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$2.17
05-09 04:42Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 10?BUY0.999$1.17
05-09 04:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.9739996717$2.13
05-09 04:41Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.994$4.24
04-07 04:30Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.9$2.20
04-07 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ETBUY0.999$299.66
04-07 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ETBUY0.999$249.71
04-07 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ETBUY0.999$299.66
04-07 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ETBUY0.997$298.97
04-07 01:47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ETBUY0.96$167.99