0xE0e8050246940cb9028BcD29770afBED238e142E-1775095473922
0xe0e8050246940cb9028bcd29770afbed238e142e
- Realised P&L
- $172.59
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.973 | $1.80 | −$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.71at 0.824Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7PM ET
- +$46.52at 0.976Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET
- +$20.00at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9PM ET
- +$16.00at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET
- +$1.04at 0.997Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 01:21 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999935 | $1.81 |
| 08-12 00:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.27 |
| 07-11 05:36 | Will Yassine Bounou win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.10 |
| 06-06 02:53 | Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9579999895 | $1.10 |
| 06-06 02:53 | Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9389999713 | $1.08 |
| 06-06 02:53 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.17 |
| 05-09 04:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 05-09 04:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9739996717 | $2.13 |
| 05-09 04:41 | Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.24 |
| 04-07 04:30 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.20 |
| 04-07 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $299.66 |
| 04-07 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $249.71 |
| 04-07 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $299.66 |
| 04-07 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $298.97 |
| 04-07 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $167.99 |