Stinkki
0xe0be752e8654f0a4c59d483c03c5c4b8cff0ed31
- Realised P&L
- $-24.86
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $37.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.425 | $18.70 | −$9.46 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.126 | $10.04 | −$11.80 |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.230 | $9.20 | −$1.20 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.793Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.150Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
- +$-6.13at 0.085Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:38 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.54 |
| 10-28 07:57 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-28 07:40 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $38.24 |
| 10-26 19:44 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 10-25 17:50 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-25 14:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.54 |
| 10-20 22:36 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.793 | $31.72 |
| 10-20 22:30 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.273 | $21.84 |