0xE0A858A37F4863ca63f81Ea66CF6AD6505FF5174-1785713687718
0xe0a858a37f4863ca63f81ea66cf6ad6505ff5174
- Realised P&L
- $-64.33
- Volume
- $201.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,694
- Open portfolio
- $23.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,694
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.609 | $7.31 | +$2.87 |
| Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? · No | 0.330 | 0.605 | $6.05 | +$2.75 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No | 0.253 | 0.835 | $3.35 | +$2.34 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.096 | $1.44 | −$0.63 |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.405 | 0.782 | $1.26 | +$0.61 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.285 | $1.07 | −$1.71 |
| Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027? · No | 0.162 | 0.806 | $0.94 | +$0.75 |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? · No | 0.240 | 0.780 | $0.80 | +$0.55 |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.441 | $0.79 | +$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.29at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$16.10at 0.106BNB Up or Down - August 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$15.50at 0.815Will Rodri join Barcelona?
- +$15.41at 0.515XRP Up or Down - August 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$14.57at 0.527Tiburon: Alastair Gray vs Patrick Maloney
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:07 | Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | SELL | 0.195 | $2.93 |