clearheadedness
0xe0a6061ac283d3da13fbf075a2e5db6b93e36043
- Realised P&L
- $-44.74
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $48.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? · Yes | 0.936 | 0.920 | $48.96 | −$0.82 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.24 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.32 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? · No | 0.845 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$255.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$254.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.32 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in October? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$350.23at 0.417Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?
- +$306.60at 0.449Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?
- +$175.25at 0.222Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?
- +$70.04at 0.417Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
- +$49.52at 0.835Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.9359999944 | $49.78 |
| 10-30 15:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.1679290237 | $47.32 |
| 10-30 00:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1709164211 | $47.32 |
| 10-30 00:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.9309999983 | $159.33 |
| 10-30 00:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.932 | $9.32 |
| 10-30 00:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.932 | $4.66 |
| 10-30 00:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.932 | $4.66 |
| 10-30 00:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.932 | $4.66 |
| 10-30 00:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? | BUY | 0.1349714164 | $47.22 |
| 10-30 00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9358837836 | $216.31 |
| 10-29 23:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9359999878 | $64.68 |
| 10-29 21:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.8339999974 | $51.09 |
| 10-29 21:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.8319999987 | $25.53 |
| 10-29 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.922 | $225.90 |
| 10-29 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.925 | $9.25 |