PolyBot

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Traders

efghvcdbjkpqwo

0xe0a521d92b6b7d2b45e9d55f05e3a8be1c41f6a4

Realised P&L
$-25.1k
Volume
$857.1k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$39.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.6780.855$11.2k+$2.3k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9010.915$7.9k+$115.83
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6980.755$7.2k+$550.86
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8930.865$5.7k−$183.98
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.7990.905$1.9k+$219.84
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2770.305$1.4k+$129.48
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.885$796.49+$67.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3970.215$795.50−$674.48
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6930.635$704.85−$64.25
Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3240.250$425.00−$126.00
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.5960.935$356.50+$129.17
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.715$214.50+$7.50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.940$213.64+$13.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2580.145$203.00−$158.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.340$136.00−$108.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 09:34Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9$180.00
10-03 03:06Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.86$516.00
09-30 12:10Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.86$258.00
09-27 02:44Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.88$1.9k
09-24 20:56Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.99$88.41
09-24 20:52Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.988$98.80
09-24 20:52Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.987$75.93
09-24 00:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.64$6.40
09-21 12:53Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.92$736.00
09-21 12:43Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.92$920.00
09-21 12:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$1.8k
09-21 08:33Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.81$728.99
09-21 08:07Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.981$59.64
09-21 08:07Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.98$19.60
09-21 04:24Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.9198666778$827.88