efghvcdbjkpqwo
0xe0a521d92b6b7d2b45e9d55f05e3a8be1c41f6a4
- Realised P&L
- $-25.1k
- Volume
- $857.1k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $39.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.745Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.6kat 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.940Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.699Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.6kat 0.501Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 09:34 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 10-03 03:06 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.86 | $516.00 |
| 09-30 12:10 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.86 | $258.00 |
| 09-27 02:44 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.9k |
| 09-24 20:56 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $88.41 |
| 09-24 20:52 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 09-24 20:52 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $75.93 |
| 09-24 00:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-21 12:53 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.92 | $736.00 |
| 09-21 12:43 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 09-21 12:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.8k |
| 09-21 08:33 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $728.99 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.981 | $59.64 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-21 04:24 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.9198666778 | $827.88 |