0xe069D0D68bb556F8fE7f7229f17B5dbe6a833C17-1751824858214
0xe069d0d68bb556f8fe7f7229f17b5dbe6a833c17
- Realised P&L
- $-709.73
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 4,841
- Open portfolio
- $4.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,841
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.677Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.812Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.007Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?
- +$1.5kat 0.008No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?
- +$1.4kat 0.025Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 13:26 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | SELL | 0.69164 | $3.46 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.81 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.75 |
| 03-10 13:23 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.75 |
| 03-10 13:23 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.82 |
| 03-05 10:08 | Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | BUY | 0.0248201439 | $1.38 |
| 03-01 14:46 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | BUY | 0.3325330704 | $3.30 |
| 03-01 14:46 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 02-18 19:22 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 02-18 19:22 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 02-18 19:21 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 02-18 19:21 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 02-18 19:21 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 02-18 19:21 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |