galinashamray
0xe055bf9565f73006a36b1c66cee0c56302a32e8c
- Realised P&L
- $-15.46
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $3.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.969 | $2.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.213 | 0.206 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.33at 0.620Predators vs. Jets
- +$1.53at 0.567Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$1.35at 0.628Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
- +$0.95at 0.760Magic vs. Nuggets
- +$0.71at 0.850Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:50 | Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 19:36 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 19:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 19:34 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.802 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 19:34 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.60 |
| 06-29 20:49 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 19:34 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.7949999125 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 19:50 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 04-30 19:49 | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.20 |
| 03-10 18:46 | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 18:45 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2129998633 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 18:45 | Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.09 |
| 02-21 19:14 | Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 01-20 19:19 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | BUY | 0.808999981 | $2.00 |
| 01-20 19:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.75 |