markmattersoon
0xe042c54198b1318d043c93cdd303f2ecdd65f206
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $112.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $101.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$352.86at 0.350US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$86.54at 0.510Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?
- +$16.85at 0.580Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
- +$13.98at 0.681Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?
- +$8.80at 0.610Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:56 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.49 |
| 09-21 07:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 07:53 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.007 | $20.04 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2062638315 | $792.00 |
| 09-20 16:28 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0698510217 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 16:26 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0060587511 | $378.00 |
| 06-08 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999853 | $16.35 |
| 06-08 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0124334809 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2504739707 | $50.00 |
| 06-08 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-08 22:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 06-08 22:24 | Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally? | SELL | 0.995 | $44.38 |