PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

markmattersoon

0xe042c54198b1318d043c93cdd303f2ecdd65f206

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$112.5k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$101.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.026$101.75−$690.24
Will Trump say "Game" during Tele-Rally? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$16.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$16.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.2880.000$0.00−$100.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$4.49
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$377.95
Will Russia join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$91.90
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$54.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$16.20
NATO Article 5 by March 31? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$20.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Up0.0610.000$0.00−$100.00
Will France strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00−$150.00
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? · No0.3780.000$0.00−$281.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:56Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.001$4.49
09-21 07:55Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.003$15.00
09-21 07:53Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.007$20.04
09-20 16:30Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2062638315$792.00
09-20 16:28Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0698510217$200.00
09-20 16:26Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0060587511$378.00
06-08 22:40Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4699999853$16.35
06-08 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.75$10.00
06-08 22:34Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.0124334809$10.00
06-08 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.04$20.00
06-08 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.1399999948$20.00
06-08 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.2504739707$50.00
06-08 22:29Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.2099999968$50.00
06-08 22:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.4599999958$50.00
06-08 22:24Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?SELL0.995$44.38