0xe01d1d5027f0dea3fd5d66d1e684e9469fb969cc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.71
- Volume
- $47.34
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $8.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.415 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.850 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.890 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.820 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.715 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.300 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.190 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.260 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.700 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.329Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.710US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.36at 0.738Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.780Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:36 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:06 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:08 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:41 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:02 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:00 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:18 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 23:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:08 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |