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Traders

vermeshel

0xdfe57cefa99c8f8817f3ef9e73d1c84a292ee888

Realised P&L
$-702.14
Volume
$115.0k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.962$961.50+$91.50
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? · Yes0.1601.000$300.00+$252.00
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? · No0.9291.000$200.00+$14.10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? · No0.9971.000$200.00+$0.70
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.2761.000$123.58+$89.46
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.3081.000$114.70+$79.35
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? · Yes0.3801.000$103.00+$63.86
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? · No0.9371.000$52.51+$3.31
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes0.3300.658$6.58+$3.28
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.1401.000$1.38+$1.19
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.2600.059$1.17$4.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.40
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$9.90
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$6.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 16:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?BUY0.004$2.80
02-22 13:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?BUY0.38$38.00
02-22 12:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?BUY0.49$65.46
02-22 11:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22?BUY0.014$1.40
02-22 10:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.87$870.00
02-22 09:25Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.38$39.14
02-21 16:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.92$92.00
02-21 16:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.82$77.00
02-21 16:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.92$92.03
02-21 16:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.91$78.35
02-21 15:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.96$0.96
02-21 15:28Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.006$0.66
02-21 15:21Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?SELL0.007$0.70
02-21 15:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.95$19.00
02-21 15:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?BUY0.95$64.60