vermeshel
0xdfe57cefa99c8f8817f3ef9e73d1c84a292ee888
- Realised P&L
- $-702.14
- Volume
- $115.0k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.32at 0.921Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?
- +$12.60at 0.006Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?
- +$2.51at 0.016Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 9?
- +$1.30at 0.036Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
- +$1.10at 0.009Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 16:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.80 |
| 02-22 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 02-22 12:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22? | BUY | 0.49 | $65.46 |
| 02-22 11:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 02-22 10:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $870.00 |
| 02-22 09:25 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $39.14 |
| 02-21 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 02-21 16:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.82 | $77.00 |
| 02-21 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.03 |
| 02-21 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.91 | $78.35 |
| 02-21 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.96 | $0.96 |
| 02-21 15:28 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.66 |
| 02-21 15:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 02-21 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 02-21 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $64.60 |