0xdfe4aa2a28afbb96d3c76be4847eb6f618780c0a
- Realised P&L
- $-28.26
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $168.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.243 | 0.235 | $77.04 | −$2.75 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.200 | $59.76 | −$2.11 |
| Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.105 | $17.85 | +$7.65 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.300 | 0.365 | $7.30 | +$1.30 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.050 | $3.96 | −$0.71 |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $1.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.075 | $1.03 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.712Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
- +$-3.15at 0.079Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$-4.61at 0.219Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-5.26at 0.219Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-18.55at 0.027Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:55 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.229999997 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 11:54 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:53 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:34 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 02:29 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 01:07 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 01:06 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.075496687 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 00:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.41 |
| 09-12 19:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2099999946 | $3.89 |
| 09-12 19:43 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1679999993 | $3.89 |
| 09-12 00:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.04 |
| 09-12 00:25 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1795608288 | $4.98 |
| 09-11 18:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2255660128 | $7.00 |
| 09-11 16:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 08:02 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.99 |