0xDFD251fA8c535a78c0E64357c8e79BEa71dEDEdF-1767936672171
0xdfd251fa8c535a78c0e64357c8e79bea71dededf
- Realised P&L
- $-187.60
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $32.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.024 | $11.75 | +$6.75 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.235 | $5.99 | −$4.01 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.225 | $5.93 | −$4.07 |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.017 | $5.90 | −$69.10 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.065 | $2.50 | −$12.50 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes | 0.375 | 0.023 | $0.61 | −$9.39 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.003 | $0.24 | −$19.76 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will India join the Board of Peace? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.00at 0.260International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)
- +$-10.00at 0.270Will England win the 2026 Six Nations championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 21:00 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.3752886721 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 23:27 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.379443862 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 23:27 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $10.00 |
| 02-22 00:49 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 18:57 | Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.3052983688 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 18:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999888 | $15.00 |
| 01-28 05:45 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 01-26 01:41 | Will India join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.2686567082 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 22:57 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 03:41 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BUY | 0.3564356174 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 03:39 | Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 18:41 | Will England win the 2026 Six Nations championship? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 03:20 | International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 01-23 03:19 | Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.2096566566 | $75.00 |