PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDFD251fA8c535a78c0E64357c8e79BEa71dEDEdF-1767936672171

0xdfd251fa8c535a78c0e64357c8e79bea71dededf

Realised P&L
$-187.60
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$32.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.024$11.75+$6.75
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3920.235$5.99$4.01
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3790.225$5.93$4.07
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2100.017$5.90$69.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3900.065$2.50$12.50
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes0.3750.023$0.61$9.39
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2500.003$0.24$19.76
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$25.00
Will India join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$20.00
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00$5.00
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 21:00Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.3752886721$10.00
03-11 23:27Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.379443862$10.00
03-11 23:27Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.3921568627$10.00
02-22 00:49Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$5.00
02-19 18:57Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.3052983688$5.00
02-19 18:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3899999888$15.00
01-28 05:45Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.25$20.00
01-26 01:41Will India join the Board of Peace?BUY0.2686567082$20.00
01-25 22:57Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.25$20.00
01-25 03:41Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.3564356174$5.00
01-25 03:39Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
01-23 18:41Will England win the 2026 Six Nations championship?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
01-23 03:20International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)BUY0.2599999646$5.00
01-23 03:19Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.2096566566$75.00