PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Loigc

0xdfb539382fd39d17321110ad568a564c1e978bd4

Realised P&L
$-72.24
Volume
$576.3k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8500.895$4.2k+$210.30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8700.895$2.9k+$81.70
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8980.834$416.75$32.25
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.4000.065$32.83$169.18
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1290.002$2.18$138.24
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$80.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$85.99
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$70.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$86.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026? · Yes0.6020.000$0.00$60.20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$86.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 15:41Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.898$449.00
07-22 02:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?SELL0.89$8.06
06-12 03:43Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?SELL0.09$4.50
04-08 00:04Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.88$13.20
04-08 00:02Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.89$8.89
04-05 04:49Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.988$65.87
03-21 09:02Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?BUY0.06$1.41
03-21 09:02Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?BUY0.0589639789$8.51
03-14 11:40Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?SELL0.018$1.66
03-14 10:01Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.052282728$9.43
03-14 10:00Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$159.99
03-14 09:55Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?SELL0.0296993007$2.12
03-14 09:54Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?SELL0.0481702703$1.78
03-14 09:48Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?SELL0.8429272112$495.30
03-14 09:46Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.9134043759$7.1k