christian1985
0xdfb401394c351e455836413864dceb4b2d3a0215
- Realised P&L
- $136.00
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $729.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.38at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.90at 0.783Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$22.63at 0.690Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$15.00at 0.850Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.72at 0.940Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:11 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $23.25 |
| 10-29 15:09 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.969 | $22.29 |
| 10-29 15:04 | Will Ajax win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.02 |
| 10-22 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.891 | $9.80 |
| 10-16 11:54 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 10-16 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $82.77 |
| 10-15 15:10 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.968 | $14.52 |
| 09-23 13:40 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-23 12:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 09-23 12:50 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $48.25 |
| 05-13 11:36 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.53 |
| 05-13 11:35 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $10.66 |
| 05-13 11:35 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.079 | $15.80 |
| 05-13 11:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.087 | $16.09 |
| 05-13 11:33 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.091 | $15.47 |