PolyBot

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Traders

christian1985

0xdfb401394c351e455836413864dceb4b2d3a0215

Realised P&L
$136.00
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$729.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9590.989$103.79+$3.10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.961$95.96+$17.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.915$81.44−$1.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.994$74.51+$4.87
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.935$51.42+$1.93
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9650.967$48.33+$0.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.979$47.97+$10.24
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9700.978$24.44+$0.19
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.935$24.31+$0.13
OKX IPO in 2026? · No0.9600.951$23.76−$0.24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9400.945$23.63+$0.13
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.930$23.25+$0.00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9690.981$22.55+$0.26
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9550.959$15.34+$0.06
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9700.959$15.34−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 15:11Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$23.25
10-29 15:09Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.969$22.29
10-29 15:04Will Ajax win the 2026-27 Eredivisie?BUY0.2$0.02
10-22 14:04Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.891$9.80
10-16 11:54OKX IPO in 2026?BUY0.96$24.00
10-16 09:58Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$82.77
10-15 15:10US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.968$14.52
09-23 13:40GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.93$18.60
09-23 12:54Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.94$23.50
09-23 12:50Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.965$48.25
05-13 11:36Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.035$7.53
05-13 11:35Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.052$10.66
05-13 11:35Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.079$15.80
05-13 11:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.087$16.09
05-13 11:33Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.091$15.47