0xdfae048c912a454b823f4564ba47a5189753393c
0xdfae048c912a454b823f4564ba47a5189753393c
- Realised P&L
- $3.33
- Volume
- $70.83
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $11.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.622Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
- +$0.59at 0.632Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:25 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 01:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:21 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:09 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:34 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:37 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |