PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lune

0xdf966e95211b8f540ae95a69b0ae28cc2daa6b1e

Realised P&L
$-5.68
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
359
Open portfolio
$19.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded359
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0980.149$6.28+$2.16
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2190.110$5.27−$5.24
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A · TheMongolz0.3700.475$2.57+$0.57
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1600.225$1.41+$0.41
Will Circle (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1500.270$1.35+$0.60
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · No0.6400.265$1.32−$1.88
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.905$1.02+$0.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0040.001$0.01−$0.10
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.4300.000$0.00−$21.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner · Vitality0.3700.000$0.00−$2.00
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs · MOUZ0.4660.000$0.00−$3.67
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage · Spirit0.6830.000$0.00−$28.42
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage · TheMongolz0.4960.000$0.00−$4.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.6700.000$0.00−$1.60
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus - Map 2 Winner · BC.Game Esports0.8900.000$0.00−$53.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 02:16Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ABUY0.3699999593$2.00
11-01 11:53Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake PlayoffsBUY0.3499999825$1.00
11-01 10:20Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.23$2.30
11-01 03:06Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.18$1.01
10-31 23:20LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6299999181$2.00
10-31 11:50Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4$1.00
10-31 10:26LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.4099999816$2.00
10-31 10:06Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsBUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-31 09:14Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsBUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-31 09:01Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsBUY0.3099999954$2.00
10-31 08:20Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-31 08:20Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-31 06:02Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsBUY0.5599999851$3.00
10-31 04:48Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2$2.00
10-31 03:32Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2$1.00