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Traders

TheBigSuccess

0xdf879bb1c7525c7665a330a5615b54bf26cc2974

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$519.2k
Markets traded
177
Open portfolio
$166.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded177
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · Yes0.0500.051$110.93+$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · No0.1300.135$35.10+$1.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0310.031$15.50$0.03
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage · Francesinhas0.0030.001$5.17$21.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.0380.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$56.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.0730.000$0.00$88.06
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$19.38
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$18.98
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$29.73
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$23.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 21:48LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group StageBUY0.001$5.00
08-04 21:46LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group StageBUY0.001$5.00
08-04 21:06LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonSELL0.6$60.00
08-04 20:25Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.05$64.59
08-04 20:01Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.13$33.80
08-04 19:59Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4?BUY0.03105202$15.53
08-04 19:07Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.049$36.46
07-16 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.0699999932$9.46
07-16 15:16LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonBUY0.0599999946$10.00
07-16 15:03LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group ASELL0.3466666667$20.80
07-15 20:59Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?SELL0.011297992$11.11
07-15 19:59Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0173942764$17.10
07-15 05:12Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.01$10.67
07-14 21:00Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?SELL0.0415730574$98.44
07-14 20:09Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1875$254.16
Trader TheBigSuccess · PolyBot