TheBigSuccess
0xdf879bb1c7525c7665a330a5615b54bf26cc2974
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $519.2k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $166.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$957.54at 0.045US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$844.15at 0.029Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$288.77at 0.056Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$254.25at 0.076LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$194.58at 0.550Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:48 | LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 21:46 | LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 21:06 | LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | SELL | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 08-04 20:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.05 | $64.59 |
| 08-04 20:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.13 | $33.80 |
| 08-04 19:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.03105202 | $15.53 |
| 08-04 19:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.049 | $36.46 |
| 07-16 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999932 | $9.46 |
| 07-16 15:16 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 15:03 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | SELL | 0.3466666667 | $20.80 |
| 07-15 20:59 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.011297992 | $11.11 |
| 07-15 19:59 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0173942764 | $17.10 |
| 07-15 05:12 | Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.67 |
| 07-14 21:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.0415730574 | $98.44 |
| 07-14 20:09 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1875 | $254.16 |