PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bob033

0xdf45a2d3abcd72333015abcccacb0adb3515b1ec

Realised P&L
$72.30
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$243.43

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7190.555$38.62$11.38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7680.905$23.57+$3.57
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.963$21.39+$1.39
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9500.977$20.55+$0.55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5161.000$19.35+$9.35
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.6000.740$12.33+$2.33
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3100.380$12.26+$2.26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7700.905$11.75+$1.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.805$11.50+$1.50
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.955$11.37+$1.37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7900.885$11.20+$1.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8100.885$10.93+$0.93
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9100.980$10.76+$0.76
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9300.961$10.33+$0.33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7900.745$9.43$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 13:23US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.389999986$10.00
06-07 13:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
06-07 13:21Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 8?BUY0.8941167109$10.00
06-07 13:20Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?BUY0.829999956$10.00
06-07 13:19Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
06-07 13:17US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
06-07 13:17US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
06-07 13:16Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?BUY0.9579999333$10.00
05-22 18:28Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9439999985$10.00
05-22 18:27Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
05-22 18:27Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
05-22 18:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5165691909$10.00
05-22 18:21Will Trump attend his son's wedding?BUY0.9779999977$5.00
05-22 18:17Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.91$10.00
05-22 18:16Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?BUY0.2599999646$5.00