ineedtostop
0xdf43b6f9cc4696f0447d62f6cb2eed705e921330
- Realised P&L
- $125.58
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,079
- Open portfolio
- $489.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,079
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.34at 0.228Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$89.54at 0.225US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$41.53at 0.209Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$31.49at 0.030Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$27.77at 0.618Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:01 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799999647 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 01:01 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 01:01 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 01:00 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 01:00 | Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 01:00 | Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 00:59 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9845303783 | $9.00 |
| 09-23 00:59 | Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9873039329 | $12.00 |
| 09-23 00:59 | Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 09-23 00:59 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999981 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 16:19 | Will White House post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 16:19 | Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 16:16 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 16:16 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9934697708 | $19.00 |
| 09-21 07:10 | Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |