tttt123
0xdf409ebc2cda86c98f3abf7666ff4bdc01ff38b8
- Realised P&L
- $14.1k
- Volume
- $1.59M
- Markets traded
- 3,142
- Open portfolio
- $15.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,142
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.31at 0.810Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$223.83at 0.938Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
- +$212.58at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?
- +$201.89at 0.807US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
- +$197.08at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $450.75 |
| 09-06 10:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $532.78 |
| 08-03 11:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8599999994 | $471.61 |
| 07-20 12:21 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8593314096 | $660.69 |
| 07-16 10:35 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $563.45 |
| 07-15 10:51 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7739999916 | $51.00 |
| 07-15 10:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.7k |
| 07-15 10:46 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | BUY | 0.68 | $339.99 |
| 07-14 16:41 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.802 | $175.73 |
| 07-14 16:40 | Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.972994941 | $432.74 |
| 06-09 15:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $6.5k |
| 06-09 15:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $248.38 |
| 03-30 08:53 | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $11.70 |
| 03-30 08:38 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $13.96 |
| 03-30 08:37 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.90 |