0xdF3D00a0217BFaC596bA6a0415B16F47C87700aE-1772693844691
0xdf3d00a0217bfac596ba6a0415b16f47c87700ae
- Realised P&L
- $-3.86
- Volume
- $56.53
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $19.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · No | 0.982 | 1.000 | $6.41 | +$0.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · No | 0.440 | 1.000 | $3.18 | +$1.78 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.65 | +$0.03 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $2.50 | +$0.02 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.460 | 0.565 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.705 | $1.48 | −$0.22 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.360 | 0.235 | $0.72 | −$0.38 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · No | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.836Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$0.09at 0.966US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.959Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$0.02at 0.987Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.999Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 08:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.31 |
| 10-19 06:34 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.8099997808 | $1.70 |
| 10-12 02:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $2.50 |
| 09-30 02:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44999991 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 02:14 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:27 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3579999474 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 06:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.359999856 | $1.10 |
| 07-06 06:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999882 | $2.61 |
| 06-17 02:02 | Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.9579999844 | $1.47 |
| 06-04 01:48 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 05:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.986999869 | $5.90 |
| 05-13 02:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.4399998491 | $1.40 |
| 04-08 06:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.9819999978 | $6.29 |
| 03-27 08:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9899998602 | $2.62 |
| 03-19 07:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929997465 | $2.48 |