PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdF3D00a0217BFaC596bA6a0415B16F47C87700aE-1772693844691

0xdf3d00a0217bfac596ba6a0415b16f47c87700ae

Realised P&L
$-3.86
Volume
$56.53
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$19.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · No0.9821.000$6.41+$0.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · No0.4401.000$3.18+$1.78
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.9901.000$2.65+$0.03
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · No0.9931.000$2.50+$0.02
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.4600.565$2.46+$0.46
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.8100.705$1.48−$0.22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3600.235$0.72−$0.38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · No0.3580.000$0.00−$2.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$1.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?BUY0.999$2.31
10-19 06:34Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.8099997808$1.70
10-12 02:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.6799999238$2.50
09-30 02:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.44999991$1.50
09-23 02:14Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-17 03:27Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.3579999474$2.00
09-01 06:342026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.359999856$1.10
07-06 06:56US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.9659999882$2.61
06-17 02:02Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY0.9579999844$1.47
06-04 01:48Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
05-20 05:43Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.986999869$5.90
05-13 02:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.4399998491$1.40
04-08 06:13Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.9819999978$6.29
03-27 08:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.9899998602$2.62
03-19 07:33Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9929997465$2.48