PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pcpp94

0xdf179749a651ce8241a885466ae8f4603d2d0507

Realised P&L
$-5.68
Volume
$423.02
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$4.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? · No0.7100.690$3.45−$0.10
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1 · Rare Atom0.3600.260$1.30−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:39Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?SELL0.2$1.00
10-20 09:58Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?SELL0.208$1.04
10-19 08:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?SELL0.999$5.00
10-19 05:50Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.06$0.30
10-15 14:38Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5SELL0.18$0.90
10-15 11:05Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 16?SELL0.2$1.00
10-15 11:01Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)SELL0.32$1.60
10-15 09:04Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17?SELL0.58$2.90
10-15 09:03Spread: Bears (-20.5)SELL0.92$4.60
10-15 09:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16?SELL0.09$0.45
10-15 07:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16?SELL0.86$4.09
10-15 07:11Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16?SELL0.71$3.55
10-15 07:00Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 16?SELL0.46$2.30
10-14 03:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15?SELL0.34$0.85
10-14 03:15Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.74$2.64