pcpp94
0xdf179749a651ce8241a885466ae8f4603d2d0507
- Realised P&L
- $-5.68
- Volume
- $423.02
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? · No | 0.710 | 0.690 | $3.45 | −$0.10 |
| Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1 · Rare Atom | 0.360 | 0.260 | $1.30 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.40at 0.320Rovereto: Lea Boskovic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
- +$2.09at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?
- +$1.05at 0.290Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?
- +$0.45at 0.410Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?
- +$0.35at 0.430Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:39 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | SELL | 0.208 | $1.04 |
| 10-19 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 05:50 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 10-15 14:38 | Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-15 11:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:01 | Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-15 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Spread: Bears (-20.5) | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-15 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.09 |
| 10-15 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 10-15 07:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-14 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.85 |
| 10-14 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.64 |