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Traders

bondsman

0xdef6f7b147246e2bab5422c7363cdebbfd54f69a

Realised P&L
$10.6k
Volume
$4.81M
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$127.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9180.982$75.9k+$4.9k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8900.962$33.7k+$2.5k
Plague pandemic in 2026? · No0.9580.961$12.5k+$37.04
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0470.058$3.1k+$587.48
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9100.995$2.0k+$169.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.1300.115$230.00−$30.00
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0270.024$168.11−$24.94
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8420.833$47.42−$0.54
Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.7500.991$40.43+$9.82
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:58Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.044038653$11.23
10-06 12:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.13$260.00
10-06 12:40Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.975666457$29.3k
10-06 04:38Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.047$235.00
10-06 04:38Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.047$94.00
10-06 03:35Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.047$194.58
10-06 01:18Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0421879767$43.20
10-05 17:40Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.048$0.61
10-05 17:40Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.048$76.80
10-05 17:34Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.05$1.05
10-04 22:54Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0485076181$257.98
08-25 20:59Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.364762514$951.91
08-25 20:22Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.36$3.2k
08-25 20:19Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.36$3.60
08-25 20:19Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.36$1.4k