PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StarcrestRunner

0xded3989152e9a24837269de22c8d14f8af86adfd

Realised P&L
$-851.74
Volume
$45.7k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$500.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9430.944$404.88+$0.18
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9500.955$43.13+$0.23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0700.075$20.55+$1.37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9000.895$17.18−$0.10
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0330.029$11.48−$2.01
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0320.030$3.47−$0.17
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.8400.000$0.00−$140.00
Nuggets vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7600.000$0.00−$20.00
Rockets vs. Nets · Nets0.2000.000$0.00−$80.00
Pistons vs. Lakers · Lakers0.4600.000$0.00−$140.00
Magic vs. Jazz · Jazz0.2900.000$0.00−$100.00
Magic vs. Pacers · Pacers0.3900.000$0.00−$40.00
Wizards vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.8300.000$0.00−$100.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.7600.000$0.00−$80.00
Magic vs. Raptors · Magic0.5200.000$0.00−$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 16:28Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.984$286.01
09-18 11:15Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.033$13.81
01-15 09:26Heat vs. BullsSELL0.6684517854$77.50
01-08 12:07Mavericks vs. JazzBUY0.6899999978$80.00
01-08 12:06Heat vs. BullsBUY0.6899999978$80.00
01-08 12:05Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.5799999959$40.00
01-08 12:04Pacers vs. HornetsBUY0.4$80.00
01-07 10:18Rockets vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.699999993$20.00
01-07 10:17Suns vs. GrizzliesBUY0.64$20.00
01-07 10:16Magic vs. NetsBUY0.4799999952$20.00
01-07 10:15Pelicans vs. HawksBUY0.8$20.00
01-07 10:14Clippers vs. KnicksBUY0.669999995$20.00
01-07 10:13Wizards vs. 76ersBUY0.8299999979$40.00
01-07 10:12Nuggets vs. CelticsBUY0.7599999666$20.00
01-07 10:11Raptors vs. HornetsBUY0.5599999966$60.00