Savannah2026
0xdeca7deef34aef833efd800a92f3de26042910ff
- Realised P&L
- $-368.29
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $211.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.160 | $100.47 | −$73.45 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.041 | $63.88 | −$205.32 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.040 | $47.40 | −$72.60 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.016 | $0.08 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.23at 0.884Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
- +$4.69at 0.962Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.29at 0.890Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$3.00at 0.520Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
- +$1.68at 0.400Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:40 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $413.63 |
| 05-15 21:26 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $400.00 |
| 04-20 08:53 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 04-02 02:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.1k |
| 04-01 01:57 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 04-01 01:56 | Will Trump attend UFC 327? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.72 |
| 03-24 02:51 | Will MrBeast get married by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 02-26 23:16 | Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $10.19 |
| 02-26 07:10 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.1086864179 | $22.34 |
| 02-23 21:28 | Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.19602 | $9.80 |
| 02-21 08:42 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 02-21 08:39 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.09 |
| 02-21 00:01 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.24 |
| 02-21 00:00 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.275 | $8.25 |
| 02-20 23:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.274 | $2.09 |