PolyBot

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Traders

0xde6a40cc5a94462d335c7eb6bfe71f3d1d70ec4e

0xde6a40cc5a94462d335c7eb6bfe71f3d1d70ec4e

Realised P&L
$-196.92
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.950$662.97+$62.97
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.910$641.55+$141.05
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9170.945$546.13+$15.99
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.925$434.60+$40.16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9000.905$331.83+$1.83
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8200.930$99.72+$11.75
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? · Yes0.1930.315$70.30+$27.30
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.3300.305$46.21−$3.73
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? · Yes0.0380.095$32.54+$19.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 17:24Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.3296290674$49.94
10-13 15:51Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.17$10.00
10-13 15:45Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.0379535798$13.00
10-13 15:38Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.22$13.00
10-13 15:38Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.19$10.84
09-29 13:26Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.679$9.42
09-25 14:43Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$98.99
09-25 08:19NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.83$88.98
09-25 08:16NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.83$124.50
09-16 09:33Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$200.00
09-16 09:29Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$4.98
09-15 21:252026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9$329.99
09-15 19:39Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$90.47
09-15 10:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.82$163.99
09-15 10:25NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8213072822$100.00