McRae
0xde63827b8f8ddd627ad9d7e0b09e8cc49bc446c2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $334.7k
- Markets traded
- 619
- Open portfolio
- $165.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded619
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.088Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$215.17at 0.566Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$158.91at 0.186Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$155.94at 0.083Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$153.05at 0.190Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 22:03 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 19:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 15:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 15:06 | Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.9664137931 | $0.56 |
| 09-13 15:06 | Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | SELL | 0.9256807423 | $48.89 |
| 09-03 13:36 | Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $0.86 |
| 09-03 13:34 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 13:33 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.959466492 | $69.58 |
| 08-31 19:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $299.17 |
| 08-04 12:06 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.9383704966 | $77.10 |
| 08-02 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.0233009485 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1559666782 | $4.49 |
| 08-01 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |