PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

McRae

0xde63827b8f8ddd627ad9d7e0b09e8cc49bc446c2

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$334.7k
Markets traded
619
Open portfolio
$165.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded619
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.5760.185$98.48$208.37
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2030.055$19.85$53.36
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4060.875$6.99+$3.75
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2100.069$5.38$10.98
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2680.082$4.57$10.43
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.3670.065$4.18$19.41
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7080.125$3.92$18.29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8190.046$3.25$54.08
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.5800.145$2.90$8.70
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.180$2.65$3.39
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.055$2.11$15.56
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0740.006$1.83$18.91
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.6340.954$1.76+$0.59
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0700.056$1.67$0.44
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1510.004$1.39$51.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-14 22:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-14 19:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-13 15:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
09-13 15:06Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?SELL0.9664137931$0.56
09-13 15:06Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?SELL0.9256807423$48.89
09-03 13:36Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.971$0.86
09-03 13:34Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.042$5.00
09-03 13:33Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.959466492$69.58
08-31 19:58Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$299.17
08-04 12:06Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?SELL0.9383704966$77.10
08-02 04:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
08-02 03:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.0233009485$1.00
08-02 03:43Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.1559666782$4.49
08-01 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.629999988$10.00