0xde5c49CBdfFBF703446e9aD5f0cbEA189Af47Fb0-1751926460240
0xde5c49cbdffbf703446e9ad5f0cbea189af47fb0
- Realised P&L
- $50.48
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $632.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.17at 0.642Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$30.33at 0.798Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$26.35at 0.555Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$24.41at 0.506Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$23.77at 0.409France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 22:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8099999919 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 22:26 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.995 | $20.89 |
| 10-31 12:35 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.95 | $21.90 |
| 10-31 12:35 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9949070295 | $21.94 |
| 10-31 07:58 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.9399999382 | $14.00 |
| 10-31 07:33 | Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.9399999994 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 07:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 07:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.8899999911 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 07:31 | Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.996 | $58.37 |
| 10-30 10:59 | Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.9329999987 | $26.00 |
| 10-30 10:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 19:27 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-24 19:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $10.03 |
| 10-24 18:44 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.4499999323 | $2.66 |