0xde5468083675c40b25fd730ef3b7bece2935e294
0xde5468083675c40b25fd730ef3b7bece2935e294
- Realised P&L
- $-39.27
- Volume
- $495.83
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $10.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.365 | $10.49 | +$1.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.54at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$4.64at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$4.64at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$2.99at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$2.73at 0.661Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:36 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.20 |
| 09-22 04:59 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 19:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 12:38 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.18 | $4.74 |
| 09-03 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 10:30 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $7.00 |
| 09-02 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 11:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |