PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PeachBabe

0xde4c29da248e35e9b37b7c131ba2d6e52545809e

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$159.2k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$596.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9570.958$383.20+$0.50
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? · No0.9210.982$103.94+$6.42
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · No0.9810.992$49.60+$0.55
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? · No0.0050.162$16.20+$15.70
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8270.945$14.18+$1.77
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9040.970$9.70+$0.66
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.8560.891$8.91+$0.35
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9300.979$4.89+$0.24
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? · Yes0.6610.838$4.19+$0.89
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.415$2.08+$0.13
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes0.0060.008$0.02+$0.00
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$61.81
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.01
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? · No0.9750.000$0.00$19.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 12:52Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.221$22.10
07-25 10:03Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.25$49.84
07-21 11:48Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.23$17.63
07-19 22:50Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.26$26.00
07-19 08:41Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.27$1.91
07-19 05:38Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.25$19.75
07-19 05:25Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.25$9.22
07-18 09:05Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.21$42.00
07-18 06:46Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.21$17.85
07-18 04:40Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.21$45.15
07-18 04:14Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.21$11.97
07-17 05:06Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.7971776199$58.35
07-07 05:59Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.831106964$2.1k
07-06 03:16Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8317998$415.90
07-05 02:47Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8290203831$627.57