aliayrk3
0xde1598d2a80c1c1fcbe9c51ec952dbbc7c4e2081
- Realised P&L
- $-65.86
- Volume
- $195.78
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-33.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.165 | $3.67 | −$0.33 |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.008 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 22:57 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.016801225 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 09:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999649 | $4.00 |
| 08-11 09:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $65.00 |