PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FreshNewBeginning

0xddf6b8556091bd4299c4bffa32e59e31188d6b37

Realised P&L
$24.86
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
301
Open portfolio
$3.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded301
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 16:05US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?SELL0.011$0.10
09-02 15:59US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?SELL0.011$0.22
08-28 15:14Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.003$0.02
08-28 15:07Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.003$0.15
08-24 16:01Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.002$0.14
08-21 04:15Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?SELL0.002$0.14
08-20 17:07Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$0.56
08-20 06:18Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?SELL0.006$0.03
08-20 05:05Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.003$0.24
08-19 20:58Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?SELL0.002$0.08
08-19 17:04Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?SELL0.007$0.21
08-19 14:36Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.007$0.35
08-18 11:28Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.004$0.48
08-17 22:04Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?SELL0.001$0.03
08-17 15:20Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?SELL0.002$0.05