FreshNewBeginning
0xddf6b8556091bd4299c4bffa32e59e31188d6b37
- Realised P&L
- $24.86
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $3.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.80at 0.276Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
- +$6.08at 0.033Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
- +$3.33at 0.024Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$3.10at 0.013Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?
- +$2.58at 0.013Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 16:05 | US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.10 |
| 09-02 15:59 | US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 08-28 15:14 | Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 08-28 15:07 | Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 08-24 16:01 | Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 08-21 04:15 | Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 08-20 17:07 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.56 |
| 08-20 06:18 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 08-20 05:05 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 08-19 20:58 | Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 08-19 17:04 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.21 |
| 08-19 14:36 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 08-18 11:28 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.48 |
| 08-17 22:04 | Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-17 15:20 | Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |