mtg2016
0xddae2b3c9472be9a3e32d32fda583f9dbd23f0ff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $952.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.115 | $859.91 | −$1.6k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.225 | $92.38 | −$71.62 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 18:05 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1908657123 | $210.00 |
| 07-04 10:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3994215694 | $164.00 |
| 05-17 15:05 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999994 | $290.00 |
| 05-16 21:24 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3139650458 | $230.00 |
| 05-12 20:18 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 14:30 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999995 | $350.00 |
| 05-10 11:09 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999995 | $280.00 |
| 05-10 06:41 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.379732045 | $225.00 |
| 05-10 06:18 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $227.00 |
| 05-10 05:56 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.4109568931 | $400.00 |
| 05-09 21:34 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3945446483 | $230.00 |
| 05-09 20:56 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |