Mst-br
0xdda510aea9859bbdbf9ea690d7e3d9557e2ac82a
- Realised P&L
- $230.98
- Volume
- $208.6k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $21.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.209US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$533.74at 0.654Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
- +$422.61at 0.460Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
- +$401.46at 0.636US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$390.00at 0.480Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:56 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 08-03 04:22 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-03 04:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 08-02 23:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 08-02 23:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 08-02 23:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $159.00 |
| 08-02 19:48 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $118.00 |
| 08-02 19:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 08-02 14:04 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 08-02 13:21 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 08-02 13:19 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-02 06:25 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 08-02 06:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $107.50 |
| 08-02 04:40 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $6.15 |