PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xdD9DB48BD792D5CEED6500320ab4Ac621d6DCc8A-1767746477609

0xdd9db48bd792d5ceed6500320ab4ac621d6dcc8a

Realised P&L
$-650.55
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$346.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · Yes0.5501.000$90.91+$40.91
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.7691.000$65.05+$15.05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.205$64.06$35.94
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? · Yes0.8501.000$58.82+$8.82
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.4500.405$44.95$5.00
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · Yes0.4000.110$13.75$36.25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5600.095$8.48$41.52
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$50.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.6190.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 01:11Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.6599999889$50.00
03-11 00:59Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.5302024363$50.00
03-11 00:52Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL0.19$16.37
03-04 01:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.32$100.00
03-04 01:04Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.65$51.58
03-04 01:04Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.74$59.67
03-04 01:03Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?SELL0.016$1.17
02-27 03:24Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?SELL0.005$0.40
02-26 00:00State of the Union Bingo - Card 3SELL0.001$0.08
02-25 01:17Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY0.5452441048$40.00
02-25 01:07US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?BUY0.6799999984$50.00
02-25 00:57Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
02-25 00:56Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.6199999975$50.00
02-25 00:54Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?BUY0.7315202145$50.00
02-25 00:51Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.6193806181$50.00