PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdd793ef50654fb28e6f8326cea7453a1b1c2e3c6

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$433.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1100.285$259.55+$159.55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1200.315$116.60+$72.18
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0150.015$19.04−$0.96
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0370.033$17.58−$2.42
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0040.001$17.25−$105.40
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0020.001$3.18−$11.81
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$26.03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$87.59
Will Trump say "N Word" in March? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$33.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$46.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 20:22Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
10-13 20:10Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0039468834$106.67
09-29 15:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$26.03
09-29 15:47Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0023553353$15.00
09-29 15:47Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0020198141$15.00
09-29 15:46Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.015234439$20.00
09-29 15:46Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0369804928$20.00
09-13 18:59Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1199999999$44.42
09-13 18:59Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1099999999$100.00
03-10 07:27Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.0216674874$16.56
03-10 07:27China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.1509990919$7.95
03-10 07:27Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.112$8.62
03-03 17:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.002$69.82
03-03 17:58Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.69$69.82
03-02 09:21Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.6665039422$67.45