0xdd793ef50654fb28e6f8326cea7453a1b1c2e3c6
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $433.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.89at 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$36.12at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$28.78at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?
- +$2.37at 0.666Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.014Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:22 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:10 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0039468834 | $106.67 |
| 09-29 15:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $26.03 |
| 09-29 15:47 | Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0023553353 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 15:47 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0020198141 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 15:46 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.015234439 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 15:46 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0369804928 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 18:59 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $44.42 |
| 09-13 18:59 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-10 07:27 | Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0216674874 | $16.56 |
| 03-10 07:27 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.1509990919 | $7.95 |
| 03-10 07:27 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.112 | $8.62 |
| 03-03 17:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.002 | $69.82 |
| 03-03 17:58 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $69.82 |
| 03-02 09:21 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6665039422 | $67.45 |