0xdd772bf25e6f95793761a1c34d9e5dfef88b5813
0xdd772bf25e6f95793761a1c34d9e5dfef88b5813
- Realised P&L
- $-3.09
- Volume
- $299.28
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $6.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.360 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.385 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.450 | 0.495 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.505 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.190 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.495 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.33 | −$1.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.25at 0.240US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.67at 0.392Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?
- +$3.24at 0.420Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:57 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:18 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:43 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:43 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:14 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 12:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? | BUY | 0.3799999867 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 01:13 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998953 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6499999858 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 01:01 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 05:00 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |