0xdd772bf25e6f95793761a1c34d9e5dfef88b5813
- Realised P&L
- $-0.29
- Volume
- $68.57
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $20.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.735 | $7.01 | +$4.72 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.855 | $2.45 | +$0.16 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.630 | $2.45 | +$0.16 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $2.38 | +$0.09 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.665 | $2.36 | +$0.12 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.320 | 0.315 | $2.25 | −$0.04 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.160 | $1.59 | −$0.70 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.260 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$2.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-2.29at 0.540Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:38 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899997784 | $2.29 |
| 08-04 08:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 08-04 00:33 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999716 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 08:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999859 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299999397 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 01:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2399999371 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 16:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2599999251 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 08:01 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999944 | $2.24 |
| 07-31 22:20 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 14:20 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 06:03 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 04:48 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |