fr2
0xdd75add51618bc64b0cdb6cd8bc030077e98e7da
- Realised P&L
- $-20.29
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $36.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.53at 0.007Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.22at 0.440Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.11at 0.730US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
- +$0.91at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$0.83at 0.783Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:01 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:59 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:59 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:58 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8009999704 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:57 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:17 | Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 10:17 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 10:17 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:17 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 10:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |