randomtrader11
0xdd708c068676a130f496625d3a7df6d361a6de14
- Realised P&L
- $237.45
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.08at 0.623Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$195.25at 0.239Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- +$155.33at 0.885NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$140.01at 0.223Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$82.05at 0.936NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 11:01 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.5 | $107.14 |
| 10-23 00:12 | Patriots vs. Bears | BUY | 0.599999997 | $40.00 |
| 10-21 22:35 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8006062201 | $150.00 |
| 10-21 22:34 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6873388248 | $150.00 |
| 10-21 22:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-20 13:41 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $15.00 |
| 10-20 13:41 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 11:13 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 11:11 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 11:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 02:08 | Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India | BUY | 0.8195902042 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 17:29 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8922671133 | $192.74 |
| 09-28 00:49 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 00:47 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8538716462 | $166.45 |
| 09-28 00:35 | Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan | BUY | 0.6286408784 | $75.00 |